Mike Halpart from the CPC always does a good seasonal outlook presentation. I like the way he explains probabilistic forecasts.
La Nina chances are increasing. La Ninas have typically produced a dry fall and spring in Colorado, with a snowy heart of winter favoring northern Colorado.
Meanwhile in the nearer term, warm conditions are favored across the southern tier of states with the storm track expected to set up over the northern Rockies as we head towards winter.
These monthly and seasonal precipitation outlooks often update on the last day of the month, so check back then.
I hope you are enjoying this mild dry fall.
Joe, on green Kauai where the drought isn’t evident to my desert-calibrated eyes