New insights into the Ridiculously Resilient Ridge & North American Winter Dipole

The Rōbert [Cholo] Report (pron: Rō'bear Re'por)

A timely example: Persistent Western ridge, Eastern trough next 2+ weeks

In the coming days, a remarkably persistent weather pattern will begin to develop across North America and adjacent ocean regions. Characterized by strong high pressure near the West Coast and low pressure over the Eastern Seaboard, this “quasi-stationary,” high-amplitude atmospheric wave pattern will essentially become locked in place for at least the next 2 weeks. Patterns like this have a tendency to become self-reinforcing, lasting for much longer than more typical transient weather patterns and leading to prolonged stretches of unusual weather. This particular event will be no exception: California (and much of the West Coast) will almost certainly experience an extended, multi-week warm and dry spell, while much of the East Coast shivers through repeated blasts of cold, Arctic air.

~~~  READ ON  ~~~

From Mountain Weather Master Joe Ramey

Here is another emergence of…

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Report: Trump to cut crucial landscapes out of Grand Staircase and Bears Ears


(Francisco Kjolseth | Tribune file photo) The two buttes that make up the namesake for the Bears Ears National Monument reveal the vast landscape surrounding them as part of the 1.35 million acres in southeastern Utah protected by President Barack Obama on Dec. 28, 2016. A Washington Post report Thursday said President Donald Trump intend to reduce the monument by 85 percent when he visits Utah next week.


Brian Maffly ~ The Salt Lake Tribune

Two of the nation’s most scientifically significant landscapes — the Kaiparowits Plateau and Cedar Mesa — could be largely stripped of hard-won protections when President Donald Trump appears in Utah on Monday to announce major reductions to Grand Staircase-Escalante and Bears Ears national monuments, according to leaked documents obtained by The Washington Post.


The areas form the hearts of their respective national monuments, yet portions of them were targeted for removal under recommendations to Trump by Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke. After reviewing several large monuments across the U.S. earlier this year, Zinke concluded past presidents abused the Antiquities Act when they used the landmark conservation law to designate oversized monuments in southern Utah.


On his visit to Utah next week, Trump is expected to act on Zinke’s recommendations, which have never been disclosed outside a summary memo previously leaked to The Post. The newly leaked documents show how Utah’s two monuments could be broken into five, with tiny satellites to protect specific ruins, while stripping protection from 2 million acres of public lands.

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Without a jot of ambition left ……

The Rōbert [Cholo] Report (pron: Rō'bear Re'por)


Without a jot of ambition left
I let my nature flow where it will.
There are ten days of rice in my bag
And, by the hearth, a bundle of firewood.
Who prattles of illusion or nirvana?
Forgetting the equal dusts of name and fortune,
Listening to the night rain on the roof of my hut,
I sit at ease, both legs stretched out.

RYOKAN (1757-1831)


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San Juan Mountains Weather Forecast ~ Friday, December 1, 2017 @ 11:05




The full court press autumn blocking pattern (high) that has dominated our weather for such a long time continues to cover the west & drives potential Pacific storms to our north. I’ve seen this happen so many times especially in la Niña fall/winters so it’s no surprise, just hope for an occasional outlier storm and accept the dry and warm.

The Gulf of Alaska storm from last week was a victim of this high… and now what looked like a decent storm for the San Juan Mountains will be spitting a few inches of snow on the Central and Northern ranges with maybe a flake or two for the North SJ’s late Sunday/early Monday.

And the future doesn’t look so good either. The models I follow aren’t encouraging for precipitation events for the next ten days at least, but we all know how fast that can change. Looks like cooler weather through the first week of December and then a little warming. Things just look dry as a bone through mid month.

Ten Day Forecast GFS vorticity map.



Watch the blocking pattern (high) develop over the west coast and dominate through the 11th of Dec. pushing all potential storm north and then dropping into the eastern U.S. 

Utopian Vistas: The Mabel Dodge Luhan House and the American Counterculture ~ sets just behind The Old Taos Inn

The Rōbert [Cholo] Report (pron: Rō'bear Re'por)

IMG_71684130ZnRa03L._SY344_BO1,204,203,200_ Mabel Dodge Luhan, hostess and visionary, made Taos, New Mexico, a center for artists and utopians when she moved there in 1917 and began inviting friends to visit her.  Utopian Vistas is a chronicle of the house Luhan built in Taos and the poets, painters, photographers, film-makers, writers, educators, and visionaries whose lives and works were affected by the house and its environs. Lois Rudnick weaves a complex tapestry depicting American countercultures in New Mexico from the 1920s to the 1990s. “Should be required reading for art historians,film historians, ex-Beats and hippies, their children and grandchildren, and anyone interested in the possibility of making an imperfect America perfect at last.”–Karal Ann Marling IMG_7137IMG_7158     I am reading this book again.  If you are interested in 20th Century Taos, the arts, culture, characters and socialist history then this is the book.  Rōbert

J. Roberts photos 

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A Photo of Billy the Kid Bought for $10 at a Flea Market May Be Worth Millions


This tintype shows what historians believe is a photo of outlaw Billy the Kid, second from left, and Pat Garrett, far right, taken in 1880. Creditvia Frank Abrams

At a flea market six years ago, a North Carolina lawyer named Frank Abrams unknowingly bought a rare photograph that experts say shows Billy the Kid relaxing with the man who would eventually kill him.

Billy the Kid, one of the best-known outlaws in American history, is thought to be there in the back, second from the left. The man all the way to the right is Pat Garrett, who would soon become the sheriff of Lincoln County, N.M., and — the story goes — shoot the outlaw dead in a darkened room.

The men appear on a tintype that is about the size of a man’s palm. (Tintypes are photographic images produced on thin sheets of metal. They became popular during the late 19th century and, as in this case, often show a version of reality that is reversed, left-to-right.)

In 2011, Mr. Abrams saw nothing more than a group of five men who looked like cowboys. He considered it a strange find, since most tintypes that ended up in North Carolina harkened back to the American South, not the Wild West. So he bought it for $10, he said in a phone interview, and put it up in his home. It hung in a room where he hosted Airbnb guests. Mr. Abrams used to jokingly tell them that it was a picture of Jesse James.

A similar find — a tintype that experts said showed Billy the Kid playing croquet with friends — was valued at around $5 million in 2015. The discovery motivated Mr. Abrams to take a closer look at his own picture.

He turned to Google and eventually zeroed in on the man on the right with the severe features and the dark hat. “Oh my gosh,” he recalled saying. “That is Pat Garrett in my picture.”

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Extended dry pattern for southwest Colorado

The Rōbert [Cholo] Report (pron: Rō'bear Re'por)

Looking into the future wandering through uncertainties I’m not seeing any weather pattern with copious moisture. It looks dry through the rest of the month, maybe longer. There are a few short waves visiting north of us but nothing to make it as far south as the San Juans. The long range models which are varied (3-6 week forecasts are mostly inaccurate)  show we’re stuck in a long wave (dry) pattern which is typical of la Niña influence in our area of SW Colorado.  Waiting for a pattern shift so enjoy the extended Indian summer.


Here is the precipitation forecast through next Tuesday according to the European model.



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NOAA: La Nina Moves In For The Winter

A La Nina climate pattern has arrived and is likely to persist through the winter, according to an advisory issued by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center today. Scientists say there is a greater…

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New Delhi Chief Minister Calls India’s Smog-Choked Capital A ‘Gas Chamber’

This headline and story was a science-fiction story The Sheep Look Up 30 years ago!




Cattle stand by the side of a road as a truck drives through smog in Greater Noida, near New Delhi, on Wednesday.

R S Iyer/AP

A toxic smog that is blanketing the Indian capital, forcing some of its schools to close and bringing traffic to a halt, has doctors in the city urging the government to declare a public emergency and order the population to leave.

The enveloping brown cloud is being blamed on farmers in the neighboring states of Haryana and Punjab, who NDTV says are “burning crop residue, an annual tradition to clear fields that combines with vehicle and industrial emissions, as well as road and construction dust.”

Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal, who called his city a “gas chamber,” was seeking meetings with the adjacent states to clear up the issue — and the air.